Caroline Bishop
Nov 19, 2025 17:21
Toncoin oversold at $1.69 with RSI at 29.73 suggests potential bounce to $2.50-$2.70 medium-term targets, but must hold $1.65 support for bullish reversal.
TON Price Prediction Summary
• TON short-term target (1 week): $1.85-$2.01 (+9-19%)
• Toncoin medium-term forecast (1 month): $2.50-$2.70 range (+48-60%)
• Key level to break for bullish continuation: $2.09 resistance
• Critical support if bearish: $1.65 Bollinger Band lower support
Recent Toncoin Price Predictions from Analysts
The latest TON price prediction consensus from leading analysts shows remarkable alignment around the $2.50-$2.70 medium-term target. Blockchain.News has consistently maintained this Toncoin forecast across multiple reports, citing technical analysis indicating 39-50% upside potential contingent on breaking the crucial $2.09 resistance level.
The most optimistic outlook comes from VanguardX Finance Institute, projecting a $3.50 short-term target based on corporate treasury accumulation and reduced circulating supply dynamics. However, this prediction appears aggressive given current technical conditions.
FX Leaders presents a more conservative near-term view with a $2.01 target, acknowledging the current bearish momentum reflected in RSI and MACD indicators. This creates an interesting divergence between short-term caution and medium-term bullishness across analyst predictions.
TON Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Oversold Bounce
Toncoin technical analysis reveals compelling oversold conditions that historically precede significant price reversals. The daily RSI at 29.73 sits deep in oversold territory below 30, suggesting selling pressure may be exhausting. Combined with TON trading near the lower Bollinger Band at $1.65 with a %B position of just 0.0649, these conditions often mark capitulation bottoms.
The MACD histogram at -0.0196 confirms bearish momentum, but the magnitude is decreasing, potentially signaling momentum divergence. TON’s position below all major moving averages (SMA 7: $1.82, SMA 20: $2.00, SMA 50: $2.22) indicates the downtrend remains intact, but oversold readings suggest a technical bounce is probable.
Volume analysis shows $10.7 million in 24-hour trading on Binance, which is moderate but sufficient to support a reversal if buying interest emerges at these oversold levels. The daily ATR of $0.14 indicates TON maintains healthy volatility for potential price swings.
Toncoin Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios
Bullish Case for TON
The primary TON price target in a bullish scenario targets the $2.50-$2.70 range, representing 48-60% upside from current levels. This Toncoin forecast aligns with analyst consensus and corresponds to the gap between the SMA 20 ($2.00) and SMA 50 ($2.22) levels.
For this bullish prediction to materialize, TON must first reclaim the $1.82 SMA 7 level, followed by a decisive break above $2.09 resistance. The upper Bollinger Band at $2.35 represents an intermediate target, while the ultimate bullish objective reaches the $2.70 level near previous consolidation zones.
The 52-week high of $4.11 remains the long-term bullish target, though this would require a complete trend reversal and sustained buying pressure over several months.
Bearish Risk for Toncoin
The primary risk to any bullish TON price prediction centers on a breakdown below the critical $1.65 Bollinger Band support. A decisive close below this level could trigger accelerated selling toward the $1.55-$1.60 zone.
In an extreme bearish scenario, TON could retest the strong support at $0.55, though this would require a broader cryptocurrency market collapse. More realistic downside targets include the $1.45-$1.50 zone, representing a 14-19% decline from current levels.
Should You Buy TON Now? Entry Strategy
Current oversold conditions present a compelling buy or sell TON decision point for contrarian traders. The optimal entry strategy involves scaling into positions near current levels ($1.69) with additional buying planned at $1.65 support.
Risk management requires a stop-loss below $1.60, representing approximately 5% downside from the $1.65 support level. Position sizing should be conservative given the broader bearish trend, with initial positions limited to 2-3% of portfolio allocation.
For aggressive traders, the $1.82 reclaim offers a lower-risk entry point with confirmation of oversold bounce initiation. This level coincides with the SMA 7 and represents the first meaningful resistance in any recovery scenario.
TON Price Prediction Conclusion
The TON price prediction for the coming month targets $2.50-$2.70 with medium confidence, supported by extreme oversold conditions and analyst consensus. The Toncoin forecast suggests a 48-60% rally potential, but success depends entirely on holding the $1.65 critical support level.
Key indicators to monitor include RSI recovery above 40, MACD histogram turning positive, and volume expansion on any bounce attempts. The prediction timeline extends 3-4 weeks for initial targets, with the full $2.70 objective potentially requiring 6-8 weeks to materialize.
Traders should prepare for volatile price action as TON attempts to establish a bottom, with the $2.09 resistance level serving as the ultimate test for any sustained bullish reversal in this Toncoin technical analysis framework.
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